Ukraine’s overnight drone strike on the Unecha station—one of the largest hubs on Russia’s Druzhba network—ignited a major fire and briefly disrupted operations at a node that feeds Belarus’s Mozyr and Novopolotsk refineries and links onto BPS‑2 toward Ust‑Luga. Satellite thermal data and regional officials confirmed a blaze; Kyiv framed the site as a military‑economic hub. While Kazakhstan said flows to Germany continued, the Unecha hit still raises costs, timing risk, and repair load across the system. In parallel, drones triggered a fire at Lukoil’s Volgograd refinery and temporary airport restrictions, compounding pressure on Russia’s energy logistics. We map why Unecha matters, how Belarus’s domestic prices and export margins get squeezed under repeated shocks, and what to watch next: flow pressures, refinery maintenance pull‑forwards, and widening export discounts. Finally, we outline short‑, mid‑, and long‑term scenarios for Belarus’s fuel balance and the broader front‑line logistics that these energy strikes aim to disrupt.
